Military StrikesPoliticsGeopoliticsWorldMiddle EastIsraelIranTrump
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Volume: $71.6MResolution: January 1, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Prediction markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes: 16%No: 85%
75.2%
Y/Y Gain
89d
Gain: 18.3%Vol: $71.6M
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