Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Prediction markets
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.3%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.7%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9.4%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5.9%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13.2%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.4%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.0%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3.2%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.2%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.9%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.1%
Y/Y Gain
179d
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1141.5%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
55.2%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
149.6%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
364.3%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
207.6%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
246.9%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
95.8%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111.5%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
67.7%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
529.0%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
175.2%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
83.2%
Y/Y Gain
6d
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
422.9%
Y/Y Gain
6d