Next French Presidential Election
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Prediction markets
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
7.9%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
1.1%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.8%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.9%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
5.0%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
3.9%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
16.2%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
4.1%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
1.1%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
43.0%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
24.0%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.5%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.0%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.9%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1.0%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.7%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.4%
Y/Y Gain
322d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
322d