Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50Climate & ScienceWeatherPandemicsScienceRecurringMeasles

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Volume: $8.1MResolution: January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Prediction markets

Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 100%No: 0%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $16K
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Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 98%No: 2%

9.2%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 2.2%Vol: $5K
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Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 100%No: 0%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

88d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $103K
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Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 100%No: 0%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

88d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $72K
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Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 100%No: 0%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

88d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $51K
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Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 91%No: 10%

43.1%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 10.5%Vol: $333K
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Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 8%No: 92%

37.4%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 9.1%Vol: $6.5M
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Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 93%No: 7%

29.5%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 7.2%Vol: $65K
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Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 60%No: 40%

273.4%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 66.7%Vol: $13K
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Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 15%No: 85%

72.4%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 17.6%Vol: $206K
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Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 3%No: 98%

10.5%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 2.6%Vol: $357K
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Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 100%No: 0%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $94K
Trade on Polymarket

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes: 99%No: 1%

3.7%

Y/Y Gain

89d

Gain: 0.9%Vol: $246K
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