Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
IsraelGeopoliticsWorldMiddle EastGaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Volume: $4.1MResolution: December 31, 2026

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Prediction markets

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $2.5M
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $708K
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $348K
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $202K
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $145K
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.3%Vol: $150K
Trade on Polymarket

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Yes: 49%No: 52%

187.8%

Y/Y Gain

183d

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