Israel closes its airspace by...?
IranIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x IranRewards 50, 4.5, 20

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Volume: $14.3MResolution: May 31, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Prediction markets

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $495K
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Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $2.5M
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Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $571K
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Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes: 5%No: 96%

573.3%

Y/Y Gain

3d

Gain: 4.7%Vol: $4.7M
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Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes: 14%No: 86%

343.9%

Y/Y Gain

18d

Gain: 17.0%Vol: $2.0M
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Israel closes its airspace by June 12?

Yes: 1%No: 99%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 1.2%Vol: $117K
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Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Yes: 3%No: 97%

487.2%

Y/Y Gain

2d

Gain: 2.7%Vol: $63K
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Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $1.1M
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Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $1.3M
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Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.0%Vol: $1.0M
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Israel closes its airspace by June 13?

Yes: 3%No: 97%

1032.1%

Y/Y Gain

1d

Gain: 2.8%Vol: $76K
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Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Yes: 0%No: 100%

0.0%

Y/Y Gain

0d

Gain: 0.1%Vol: $439K
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