Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Prediction markets
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51.2%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.7%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2.5%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12.1%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5.5%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.2%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
11.3%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.8%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
99.1%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3.5%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.9%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.6%
Y/Y Gain
95d